Should I be worried about COVID in my country this autumn?

COMPARING US/UK/CHINA as of 18 September 2020.

The autumn is here, winter is near. How dangerous are we now in this crazy world facing COVID? Whatโ€™s the mortality rate for the countries that I am in and is it more likely for me to die if I had the disease compared with people in other countries?

Here we used three countries for comparison.

Mortality for COVID-19 appears higher than for influenza, especially seasonal influenza. While the true mortality of COVID-19 will take some time to fully understand, the data we have so far indicate that the crude mortality ratio (the number of reported deaths divided by the reported cases) is between 3-4%, the infection mortality rate (the number of reported deaths divided by the number of infections) will be lower. For seasonal influenza, mortality is usually well below 0.1%. However, mortality is to a large extent determined by access to and quality of health care.

In the US, 20k people are tested positive in everything million people, and 60 people died from this 20K people. In the England, it’s 5k & 600 people per million. In China the figures are as low as 65 & 3.

So making it into a list:

US: 60 -> 20k

England: 600 -> 5k

(UK is similar)

China: 3 -> 65